***GWarner27's Week Thirteen CF Picks***

-7.771

Favs: 8-7 +1.956
Dogs: 8-12 -5.877
Totals: 2-1 +1.844
Halftimes: 0-2 -4.212
In-game ML: 0-1 -1.482

CF Covers History:
2007-08: 56-41-7 (57.7%) +22.127
2008-09: 45-42-3 (51.7%) -10.223

1-1 week makes me happy. That is sad. Was thinking about only playing the TTU ML, but instead split UK and NCSU, which were both games that I didn't really lean that way. Let some others influence my thoughts, which is okay at times, but i'm disappointed that I laid off TTU when I had made them -3 going into the week.

adding:
Georgia Tech -7 (+102) vs. UGA: 2/2.04 (Matchbook)
AJ Green will make it nearly impossible for the 'Dawgs to take full advantage of the weakness that is the GT secondary. Joe Cox still may do some damage, but there's a reason he didn't start until it was an emergency when Stafford left early. I don't think the UGA defense can do much to stop the option, as they looked absolutely ATROCIOUS last year against it in the 2H. This year, GT has better athletes in the backfield with the addition of the Louisville transfer Allen. I'd like to see Nesbitt take advantage of the UGA secondary, but I truly hope he won't have to throw. Oh, and PJ > Mark Richt and it's not even close.

Pittsburgh -2 (+109) @ West Virginia: 2/2.18 (Matchbook)
Still upset about the Pitt ATS loss to ND, but I think they'll repay me here. No chance they're looking past a big rival in WVU toward Cincy, so that is certainly a relief. Also don't see Noel Devine getting around the Pitt front 7 so that is the basis for my wager.

Notre Dame-Stanford OVER 64.5 (-110): 2.2/2 (Bookmaker)
No clue on whether this is a high total or not, but I think both teams easily get into the 30s here. Stanford should be able to move the ball all over this defense, and the Golden Domers have plenty of ammunition to roar their way back in the game. Not worried about the Golden Boy's eye, either.

Boise State -13.5 (-102) vs. Nevada: 2.04/2 (Matchbook)
May sell off this one if it rises a big amount, but I thought I'd be interested if i saw -19.5 here so I'll take the 6-point advantage. The Wolfpack aren't a bad team, but they can't stop the pass and I think Kellen Moore will have a field day. Boise's going to be looking to run up the score here realizing they won't have a chance at the BCS Championship, but they still need to win big to impress voters and the computers to try to insure a spot in a different BCS bowl. I also think the Boise defense will be faster than any Colin Kaepornick has seen this season and it will do a great job slowing the #1 rushing attack in the nation.

Alabama -6.5 (-110, 2H) @ Auburn: 2.2/2 (Matchbook)
Auburn blew their load in the first quarter and now that Bama has settled in they have no chance in this one. Barring a terrible turnover or a big special teams play, I see Alabama rollin' to an undefeated regular season.

current card:
Alabama -6.5 (-110, 2H) @ Auburn: 2.2/2
Pittsburgh -2 (+109) @ West Virginia: 2/2.18
Boise State -13.5 (-102) vs. Nevada: 2.04/2
Georgia Tech -7 (+102) vs. UGA: 2/2.04
Notre Dame-Stanford OVER 64.5 (-110): 2.2/2

good luck

0 comments:

Post a Comment