Welcome to GWarner's blog

+5.031

Dogs: 2-2 -0.076
Favorites: 5-2 +3.084
Over: 2-0 +2.00
Under: 6-7-1 -1.75
Halftimes: 2-0 +1.773

2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657

Yesterday: 0-2 -1.07

-Should have been a much different day. The numbers of fouls called in Puerto Rico was an absolute abomination. GT/BU was 16-14 with less than 10 minutes left in the 1H, and they scored 52 combined to end the half. The 2nd game had only 63 points at halftime, yet Dayton and K State combined for 95 points in the 2H. That is unreal.

...still looking for insight on teams with pace changes due to new systems or players graduating as I have a little bit of a list going.

Pace changes:
UVA-- slower (Tony Bennett Jr. in town): 1-1 o/u
UNC-- slower (no Ty Lawson): 2-2 o/u
Pitt--slower: Loss of their big 3 and that kills o-rebs as much as points being scored: 1-1 o/u
DET-- faster as they have some athletes now and they pushed the pace all night against Cal even using a fullcourt press: 1-0 o/u
Wazzu-- faster (former Portland State coach Bone liked uptempo): 0-1 o/u
TEX-- faster (not as good on defense and we can shoot): 0-2 o/u
UK-- faster (Calipari brings in some athletes and we all know he likes: 1-1 o/u

Variations tracking:
-9.0: 1-0 +1.00
-8.5: 1-0 +1.00
+5.5: 0-1-1 -1.10
+6.0: 1-0 +1.00
+7.5: 1-0 +1.00
+8.0: 0-1 -1.10
+8.5: 1-2 -1.20
+9.0: 1-1 -0.10
+10.0: 0-1 -1.10
+13.5: 1-0 +1.00
+16.0: 0-1 -1.10
+17.5: 1-0 +1.00

adding:
Colorado-Gonzaga UNDER 145 (-110): 1.1/1 (Bookmaker)
The Zags have been faster than most this year, but I think that's because their opponents allowed them to be. Colorado is outmanned in this one, but their HC Jeff Bzdelik loves to slow the game down and play methodical basketball. I also think the 3pm start which is actually 9am in Hawaii will make it a little tougher on the shooters in such an early start. Congrats to all who got u150, but I'll take 11 points of variation.
Texas -15.5 (+102) vs. Iowa: 1/1.02 (Matchbook)
Texas can win tonight by 40. Iowa won't be able to score, as seen this year, and UT won't be giving up in the 2H with all the guys fighting for PT. I'm a little concerned about it being more of a home atmosphere for Iowa, but I'm not sure that'll have an effect
Cincinnati ML (+145) vs. Vanderbilt: 0.816/1.183 (Bookmaker)
Not a believer in Vandy being a great team. Beal is talented and so is Ogilvy, but the better team from a more polished conference catching points is something i can't resist.

current card:
Colorado-Gonzaga UNDER 145 (-110): 1.1/1
Cincinnati ML (+145) vs. Vanderbilt: 0.816/1.183
Texas -15.5 (+102) vs. Iowa: 1/1.02

good luck