Garrett Yancey 2010: 4-3 +1.00
7/9- GW
Uruguay-Germany OVER 2.5 (-137): 1.37/1 (5Dimes)
Forlan and Suarez should want to show their skills out there tomorrow and the German counter attack will suck 'em and spit back out some runs. Getting Mueller back should be big for Deutschland, and I think the goalies in this match-up are pretty weak. History's on our side, too, with every 3rd place match since 1978 registering 3 or more goals. Hate the juice, but I laid 150 before so why should I be afraid of the big chalk??
7/7- GW
Spain to Advance (+100) vs. Germany: 1/1 (local)
Trying to bob-n-weave on this German team as I had them against Argentina where they looked like world-beaters. I'm not sure they can knock out the Spaniards who have been a favorite in this tournament since day one. While they have certainly not played as well offensively as everyone expected, I think that was largely due to their opponent's strategy not a lack of creativity. Getting the better keeper here and a more talented offensive team who is not missing any key players is a really big thing at this point in the tournament, and it's about time for somebody to give David Villa some help.
7/3- GW
Germany +0.5 (-144) vs. Argentina: 1.44/1 (5Dimes)
Not completely impressed by Argentina so far as I think the Germans will get on the board and send this to extra time. Really hoping for a draw, but I think the Germans could win this one, too. Was praying there'd be a ton of Argentina love so I could grab a full 1.0, but it's too expensive at this point for me to seriously consider it. Basically I think the Germans have the firepower on offense that will allow them to compete on the scoreboard today and I'm not overly impressed by Argentina's keeper to win this game for them with a clean sheet.
7/2- GW
Ghana-Uruguay UNDER 2 (+101): 1/1.01 (5Dimes)
Ghana's scorers are banged up and I think we see Uruguay bunkering if they get a lead. Other thoughts are above...
6/28- GW
Brazil Team Total OVER 1.5 (-140) vs. Chile: 1.4/1 (5Dimes)
Chile without 2 central defenders is really going to hurt them. Think we see yet another shootout as the Chileans play an attacking game and they should give Brazil a few great opportunities to score. Like that Kaka sat last match as he should be fresh, and I think we see Luis Fabiano get on the board again. Decided on this instead of Brazil -1 as I'd need 2 goals to win that one anyways and this price isn't too bad considering the advantages.
6/27- GW
Mexico-Argentina OVER 2.5 (+113): 1/1.13 (5Dimes)
Both teams should be pretty familiar with the altitude in Johannesburg based on country origin and also playing at high altitude already in this tournament. Maradonna has taken a ton of criticism so I think he'll want to get a 2-goal lead before switching to a conservative game, and I think Mexico can surprise and get a goal on a counter-attack early if they get the right bounce. In addition, Soccer City Stadium averaged 2.67 goals/game in the group stages while each of these teams played there once and 7 balls found the back of the net. Would really like a 1-1 start, but I think caution would go to the wind if someone goes up 2-0. Mexico has a chance, and I think they get on the board so the over has more value than the Mexicans do, imo.
6/25- GW
South Korea-Uruguay UNDER 2 (-120): 1.2/1 (5Dimes)
The Asian teams, especially Korea PR, have been extremely disciplined this tournament getting two teams through when they weren't expected to do so. This South Korean team has impressed me, and I think they'll try to play a very "close to the vest" game to get to extra time so Manchester United's Park can spring them into the next round. I have a similar read on Uruguay, as they aren't very proficient at scoring the ball and even if they do score they'll move into a shut-down mode and play ultra-conservative for the remainder of the game.
6/24- GW
Netherlands Team Total OVER 1.5 (-118): 1.18/1 (5Dimes)
Cameroon's defense is extremely weak, and the Dutch are a high-flying team. While the Orange guys have clinched a spot in the knockout round and they should sit some key players, their coach has said this game is still important to them as they want to improve for each and every match. With Cameroon being eliminated, I'm thinking this will be a very open game as they'll be trying to get on the board often leaving an already undisciplined back line to try and stop a team with very good goalscorers.
6/21- GW
Honduras-Spain OVER 2.5 (-150): 1.5/1 (5Dimes)
Spain clearly had a ton of chances in their last match, but the Swiss somehow avoided each and every one of the 24 shots the Spaniards attempted. I don't think Honduras will be that lucky, as they probably used up all their luck in only allowing a goal to Chile in their opener, and it seems to me that Spain will need a big scoring output to feel better about themselves in the group. This is the A-team in the group against the D, and I think we'll see a big scoring output.
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