Welcome to GWarner's blog

+7.993

Dogs: 5-4 +1.40
Favorites: 7-3 +5.068
Over: 4-1 +2.90
Under: 9-12-1 -4.148
Halftimes: 3-0 +2.773

2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657

Yesterday: 4-1 +3.061

-Got back on track and could have had a HUGE day if SLU could have stayed in the game before folding late to lose by 12 and miss my number by 1 1/2 points. UNLV ML won despite making me nervous after they blew a 20-point lead and I feel good about my totals as I went 3-0 and none were very close.

2008-09 TEX wagers: 7-1 +5.848
2009-10 TEX wagers: 3-0 +3.02

...still looking for insight on teams with pace changes due to new systems or players graduating as I have a little bit of a list going.

Variations tracking: 13-13-1 -1.248
-9.0: 1-0 +1.00
-8.5: 1-0 +1.00
-7.0: 1-0 +1.00
-6.0: 0-1 -1.10
+4.0: 0-1 -0.998
+5.5: 0-1-1 -1.10
+6.0: 1-0 +1.00
+6.5: 0-2 -2.20
+7.5: 1-1 -0.10
+8.0: 0-1 -1.10
+8.5: 2-2 -0.20
+9.0: 2-1 +0.90
+10.0: 0-1 -1.10
+11.0: 1-1 -0.10
+13.5: 1-0 +1.00
+16.0: 0-1 -1.10
+17.5: 1-0 +1.00
+19.0: 1-0 +1.00

adding:
Nebraska-Southern Cal OVER 126.5 (-110): 1.1/1 (Bookmaker)
Heard rumblings about Doc Sadler wanting to play faster this season, and it looks like he has. Both teams are playing at faster paces and their defensive efficiency has declined, but it is early yet and I don't expect them to "D up" like the teams usually do deep in conference play. Playing this based on 9 points of variation.

Nevada +15 (+104) @ North Carolina: 1/1.04 (Matchbook)
The 'Heels are nowhere near the team they were last year, and I think players like Luke Babbitt can take advantage of that. I expect Nevada to force UNC to shoot from outside a lot, which they really can't do.

Florida State ML (+100) vs. Marquette: 1/1 (5Dimes)
Loved FSU last year with Toney Douglas, and I like their athleticism again this season. The 'Noles are much taller than the Golden Eagles and I think they can handle them on the board. Marquette has no one to matchup with Solomon Alabi, and I think Chris Singleton will make it very tough for Lazar Hayward. Worry about MU going small and running all day, but FSU has the athletes and plays good enough defense to make that difficult.

good luck