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Louisiana State ML (+128) vs. Penn St: 1.754/2.245 (5Dimes)
Wrong team favored here. LSU may have looked bad against Ole Miss and Arkansas, but the SEC is miles better than the Big Ten and that is why "weaker" SEC teams fare so much better in the bowls. Also think the Tigers will be healthy by the New Year, and Daryll Scott will struggle with the southern speed.

New Mexico -7 (-110) vs. Dayton: 1.1/1 (Dimeline)
UNM isn't very tall, but neither is Dayton. Both teams played their last game on 12/29, and the Flyers had to travel to New Mexico from Ohio while the Lobos were at home waiting. What I'm making this play on is The Pit. For some reason, the home court advantage in Albuquerque is ridiculous and a lot of teams have had trouble doing anything there. California and Texas Tech, while mediocre, are better than Dayton yet they both fell victim by a number that would cover here. I think the long flight coupled with favorable whistles and a high-scoring game will make it very tough for Dayton to keep up. Also think this is a spot that UNM needs a victory to avoid spoiling a great OOC schedule that had wins against TTU, Cal and aTm.

Oregon -4 (-115) vs. Ohio State: 2.3/2 (Dimeline)
Terrelle Pryor's injury is what put me over the edge. He's going to have to play a huge game for the Buckeyes to keep up on the scoreboard, and I just don't think it'll happen.

good luck