Dogs: 0-1 -1.07
Favorites: 3-0 +3.064
Over: 1-0 +1.00
Under: 4-2-1 +1.75
Halftimes: 1-0 +1.00
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
Yesterday: 0-1-1 -1.10
-TCU killed my under play with 48 in the 1H. Unbelievable push with ASU-TxState as a Sun Devil scrub inexplicably threw it right at a defender under his own basket and then proceeded to foul the guy for an and1. He made the FT and there went the win
...still looking for insight on teams with pace changes due to new systems or players graduating as I have a little bit of a list going.
Pace changes:
UVA-- slower (Tony Bennett Jr. in town): 0-1 o/u
UNC-- slower (no Ty Lawson): 1-1 o/u
Pitt--slower: Loss of their big 3 and that kills o-rebs as much as points being scored: 0-1 o/u
DET-- faster as they have some athletes now and they pushed the pace all night against Cal even using a fullcourt press: 1-0 o/u
Wazzu-- faster (former Portland State coach Bone liked uptempo)
TEX-- faster (not as good on defense and we can shoot): 0-1 o/u
UK-- faster (Calipari brings in some athletes and we all know he likes: 1-1 o/u
Need a good bounceback here today...
adding:
Kansas -11.5 (-110) vs. Memphis: 1.1/1 (Bookmaker)
The Memphis Tigers will sorely miss John Calipari, and it will be clear at Phog Allen Fieldhouse. KU isn't the strongest team in the world in my opinion, but they do deserve the #1 ranking because frankly no one else does. I see a bare cupboard on the Memphis team when the great recruits like Wall and Henry decided not to commit when Coach Cal left, and it clearly was too hard for the new staff to replace them with players at that level. I'll take the huge home court advantage and the better team here winning handily.
Michigan State -11 (+103) vs. Gonzaga: 1/1.03 (Matchbook)
Gonzaga +11 (+110) @ Michigan State: 0.967/1.064 (Matchbook)
Don't have enough faith in Michigan State's frontcourt to keep this wager. Sacre could do very well against Sparty inside after he supposedly played very well in a pre-season scrimmage against Texas.
UC Riverside-Southern Cal OVER 116 (-110): 1.1/1 (Bookmaker)
Pegged this at 125 and I really don't see Kevin O'Neill slowing it down too much more than Tim Floyd. Also doubt Stepheson can have the same effect altering shots in the middle like Taj Gibson did back when he was in school.
Texas Christian +12.5 (-110) @ Arizona State: 1.1/1 (Bookmaker)
Texas Christian ML (+950) @ Arizona State: 0.095/0.902 (Matchbook)
Arizona State isn't a good team this year. They lost Harden and Pendergraph, which took their heart and soul away. PG J.D. Glasser is servicable at best, and without those guys we will see him look like the scrub he truly is. I don't see him turning into a shooter, but that's what he'll have to be in order for this team to succeed. Someone matched a joke of a Matchbook offer so I got that, too.
good luck
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