***GWarner27's 8/18 MLB Picks***

0.687 units

MLs: 24-22 +7.91
Over: 13-16-3 -6.171
Under: 25-26-3 -5.385
1st 5: 10-7-2 +5.979
TT: 0-3 -3.159

Carried over from the late part of last season, as i run my calendar through the academic year, I was 10-8 (55.6%) +2.968 units. This is NOT part of my record above, though.

My units are 2x the units I use in CBB/NBA, and they're = to the units I use in CF. I'm hoping to stay consistent on flat betting, and i'm very interested in sticking to 1 play per day.

This is my blog:
edited
...where I'll be trying to combine posts from all sports into one each day as CF and the NFL start up. It's also good because it's helping me track my leans (although i just started doing it this week). Take a look there if covers is ever down because i'll be trying to post everything here as well as there.


Rule #1:
I will be playing 1 game per day per sport (with the unit differences in my sides and total plays) so I will be looking first at totals and only playing sides if I can't find any totals that fit the bill.
Rule #2 (New as of 6/22):
I will NOT play an NL team facing an AL team.

First Week: 7-7 -2.827
Week Two: 6-4 +3.668
Week Three: 4-4 -1.393
Week Four: 5-5-1 +1.178
Week Five: 2-3-1 -1.023
Week Six: 3-4 -2.891
Week Seven: 5-2-1 +4.038
Week Eight: 4-1 +6.166
Week Nine: 4-4 +3.127
Week Ten: 1-4 -5.533
Week Eleven: 1-5-2 -6.93
Week Twelve: 6-4 +3.338
Week Thirteen: 5-2 +5.607
Week Fourteen: 3-3 -0.585
Week Fifteen: 2-4 -4.35
Week Sixteen: 3-3-1 +3.283
Week Seventeen: 3-5 -4.411
Week Eighteen: 3-5-1 -2.421
Last Week: 4-3 +2.92

This Week: 1-2 -2.057

tomorrow's thoughts:
PIT -110 (9.5): +104 (9)
PHI -145 (9.5): -166 (10)
DET +100 (8): +110 (8)
WAS +135 (9): +160 (9)
TOR +130 (8): +138 (8)
TB -205 (9.5): -261 (9.5)
CIN +180 (8): +200 (7.5)
NYM +115 (8.5): +162 (8.5)
TEX -170 (10): -164 (9.5)
HOU -135 (9): -102 (9)
OAK +200 (8): +206 (8.5)
LAD -180 (8): -191 (8.5)

avoiding:
LAA-CLE
KC-CHW
CHC-SD

updated leans:
PIT ML
MIL/PIT o9
ARI ML
ARI/PHI u10
DET ML
WAS ML
TOR ML
BAL ML
CIN ML
SF/CIN o7.5
NYM ML
TEX ML
MIN/TEX o9.5
HOU ML
OAK ML
NYY/OAK u8.5
StL ML
StL/LAD u8.5

surviving leans (3-2): 21-21-2 since 8/13
MIN/TEX o9.5: Scott was 13-20 o/u in '08, but he's 14-10 o/u YTD
SF/CIN o7.5
TEX ML: Scott's home teams were 20-13 in '08, 16-9 YTD
HOU ML
NYM ML

adding:
Minnesota-Texas OVER 9.5 (+108): 2/2.16 (Matchbook)
The vaunted "jet stream" is in place in Arlington tonight, as the wind is blowing IN FROM RIGHT, which usually means that'll be a great day for ball flight. The humidity is only 40%, but it's a heat index of 98 for the game and we got an UNDER guy turned over guy in Dale Scott behind the plate. Feldman is VERY hit or miss, and he's coming off a great start so i could see him struggling here and when he struggles he REALLY struggles. His counterpart is Carl Pavano who seems to only pitch well against the Tigers and his defense behind him is far from the defense you can usually expect from the Twins. Hate to see Morneau out, but I ended up putting offers out at 9.5 and 10, but unfortunately no one would pay the big juice for 10 before my 9.5 was grabbed.

good luck

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