***GWarner27's 8/17 MLB Picks***

+1.37 units

MLs: 23-21 +7.807
Over: 13-16-3 -6.171
Under: 25-25-3 -3.225
1st 5: 10-7-2 +5.979
TT: 0-3 -3.159

Carried over from the late part of last season, as i run my calendar through the academic year, I was 10-8 (55.6%) +2.968 units. This is NOT part of my record above, though.

My units are 2x the units I use in CBB/NBA, and they're = to the units I use in CF. I'm hoping to stay consistent on flat betting, and i'm very interested in sticking to 1 play per day.

This is my blog:
http://gwarner27.blogspot.com/
...where I'll be trying to combine posts from all sports into one each day as CF and the NFL start up. It's also good because it's helping me track my leans (although i just started doing it this week). Take a look there if covers is ever down because i'll be trying to post everything here as well as there.


Rule #1:
I will be playing 1 game per day per sport (with the unit differences in my sides and total plays) so I will be looking first at totals and only playing sides if I can't find any totals that fit the bill.
Rule #2 (New as of 6/22):
I will NOT play an NL team facing an AL team.

First Week: 7-7 -2.827
Week Two: 6-4 +3.668
Week Three: 4-4 -1.393
Week Four: 5-5-1 +1.178
Week Five: 2-3-1 -1.023
Week Six: 3-4 -2.891
Week Seven: 5-2-1 +4.038
Week Eight: 4-1 +6.166
Week Nine: 4-4 +3.127
Week Ten: 1-4 -5.533
Week Eleven: 1-5-2 -6.93
Week Twelve: 6-4 +3.338
Week Thirteen: 5-2 +5.607
Week Fourteen: 3-3 -0.585
Week Fifteen: 2-4 -4.35
Week Sixteen: 3-3-1 +3.283
Week Seventeen: 3-5 -4.411
Week Eighteen: 3-5-1 -2.421
Last Week: 4-3 +2.92

This Week: 0-0 +0.00

tomorrow's thoughts:
ATL -145 (7.5): -160 (8)
PIT +100 (9.5): +115 (9)
BAL +115 (9.5): -108 (10)
NYM -120 (9.5): +101 (9)
TEX -145 (9.5): -129 (9.5)
CHW -170 (9): -225 (9)
SD -110 (8.5): +110 (7.5)
OAK +185 (9.5): +180 (8.5)

avoiding:
StL-LAD

updated leans:
ARI ML
ARI/ATL u8
PIT ML
MIL/PIT o9
LAA ML
LAA/BAL u10
NYM ML
SF/NYM o9
TEX ML
KC ML
SD ML
CHC/SD o7.5
NYY ML
NYY/OAK o8.5

surviving leans (2-5): 18-19-2 since 8/13
ARI/ATL u8
NYY/OAK o8.5
CHC/SD o7.5
NYY ML
SF/NYM o9
NYM ML
MIL/PIT o9

current card:
New York (-190) @ Oakland: 1.14/0.6 (Matchbook)
Oakland (+250) vs. New York: 0.497/1.243 (Matchbook)

adding:
Arizona/Atlanta UNDER 7.5 (-108): 2.16/2 (Matchbook)
DeMuth was 13-20 o/u last year and he's 10-13 o/u YTD. Both teams are leaving after today; Atlanta to New York and Arizona to Philly. Both starters are better during the day, and Scherzer has killer numbers on the road that are even better at Turner Field. The Braves can't hit and the dbacks have some free swingers who can't deal with Hanson's change-up.

good luck

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