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-1.188

Dogs: 0-1 -1.07
Favorites: 1-0 +1.032
Over: 0-0 +0.00
Under: 0-1 -1.15
Halftimes: 0-0 +0.00

2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657

Friday's projections (using last year's numbers):
KU -9 (134.5)
Mich St -14.5 (137.5)
UK -5 (133)-- Calipari should be quicker
Nova -16.5 (140.5)
PUR -6 (137.5)
Duke -15.5 (137)
Tenn -7.5 (144.5)
UDub -5.5 (134)
UConn -12.5 (129.5)-- should be quicker with Thabeet gone inside
MINN -8 (137)
Miss St -4.5 (140.5)
Tulane +6.5 (128)
CLEM -10.5 (131.5)
UW-GB +1.5 (138.5)
Bucknell +2.5 (140.5)
Sacred Heart -2.5 (137)
Lafayette +2.5 (139.5)
So. Alabama -6.5 (138)
UGA -3 (130)
BC -9.5 (136)-- Rice being gone makes them slower w/all big guys now
Holy Cross -2.5 (133.5)
Towson +4.5 (129.5)
Ole Miss -2.5 (135.5)
St. Bonaventure +5 (133.5)
Pitt -12 (138.5)-- Won't rebound or score like last year with the loss of Fields, Young & Blair
Richmond -4.5 (131.5)
UVA -9 (145)-- Bennett Jr. will slow it all down
ALB +3 (130)
App St -2 (148.5)
Ball St +1 (124)
UCF P (141) --> UMass by 0.17
Kent St -4 (128)-- Al Fisher will be sorely missed
Seton Hall -6.5 (134)
So. Car -13 (141)
St. Joes -1.5 (127)
Penn St -8 (133)
Portland St P (141.5) --> Belmont favored
Xavier -9 (134.5)-- should be different with Miller gone
Colorado St -1.5 (146.5)
Iowa St -2.5 (129.5)
NW -8.5 (133)
LSU -10.5 (138.5)
WFU -4 (141)-- missing James Johnson now but they'll still run
K State -7.5 (135)
Siena -9 (148.5)
Rice -6.5 (130)
USF -2 (127.5)
Utah -6 (131.5)
AUB -1 (139.5)
BYU -6 (138.5)
N. Iowa -4.5 (123.5)
Utah St -3.5 (134.5)
Oregon -9.5 (135)
STAN -5.5 (132.5)
Pacific -6 (128.5)
St. Mary's -4 (143.5)

...still looking for insight on teams with pace changes due to new systems or players graduating as I have a little bit of a list going.

Pace changes:
UVA-- slower (Tony Bennett Jr. in town)
UNC-- slower (no Ty Lawson): 1-1 o/u
Pitt--slower: Loss of their big 3 and that kills o-rebs as much as points being scored
DET-- faster as they have some athletes now and they pushed the pace all night against Cal even using a fullcourt press: 1-0 o/u
Wazzu-- faster (former Portland State coach Bone liked uptempo)
TEX-- faster (not as good on defense and we can shoot)
UK-- faster (Calipari brings in some athletes and we all know he likes to run)

still waiting on the totals to be released, which isn't a good sign for this season...

adding:
Oregon -20.5 (-110) vs. Winston Salem St: 1.1/1 (Matchbook)
The Ducks are going to be a way better team than last year as they started to gel late in the season. They should easily overpower WSSU on the glass with Dunigan and Catron, and they got Sim and Tajuan Porter to shoot on the outside. I'm curious to see how good little Singler's going to be as well. Get it now because I'm sure people will chase with the Ducks later.
South Florida -1.5 (+103) @ SMU: 1/1.03 (Matchbook)
Mike Mercer, Dominique Jones and Gus Gilchrist will be the best 3 players on the floor this season. It's also a battle of coaches who got booted from major programs and I think Stan Heath is a better one than Matt Doherty. SMU will be fighting for the middle tier in the CUSA, and that makes me think I'd be happy with a Big East team playing in a pick 'em game basically (even with a poor finish last year due to a lot of injuries).
New Orleans/Georgia OVER 121.5 (-110): 1.1/1 (BM)
AppSt/UNC-Wilmington UNDER 156 (-110): 1.1/1 (BM)
Austin Peay/Tennessee UNDER 158 (-110): 1.1/1 (BM)
Siena/Tennessee State UNDER 157.5 (-110): 1.1/1 (BM)

current card:
Oregon -20.5 (-110) vs. Winston Salem St: 1.1/1
New Orleans/Georgia OVER 121.5 (-110): 1.1/1
AppSt/UNC-Wilmington UNDER 156 (-110): 1.1/1
Austin Peay/Tennessee UNDER 158 (-110): 1.1/1
Siena/Tennessee State UNDER 157.5 (-110): 1.1/1
South Florida -1.5 (+103) @ SMU: 1/1.03

good luck