Welcome to GWarner's blog

+1.032

Dogs: 0-0 +0.00
Favorites: 1-0 +1.032
Over: 0-0 +0.00
Under: 0-0 +0.00
Halftimes: 0-0 +0.00

2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657

Wednesday's projections (using last year's numbers):
SYR -7.5 (140)
UNC -24 (148.5)
Cal -10 (133)

...still looking for insight on teams with pace changes due to new systems or players graduating as I have a little bit of a list going.

Pace changes:
UVA-- slower (Tony Bennett Jr. in town)
UNC-- slower (no Ty Lawson): 1-0 o/u
FIU-- no opinion but Isaiah should like to move a bit I'd think: 1-0 o/u
Wazzu-- faster (former Portland State coach Bone liked uptempo)
TEX-- faster (not as good on defense and we can shoot)

1st totals play of the year...

adding:
Detroit-California UNDER 141 (-115): 1.15/1 (BetPhoenix)
Projection was at 133 so i'll take an 8-point advantage. Last year I won a great % of wagers with an advantage higher than 5.5 points, so that is my standard at this point. I'm trying to find my exact percentages, but I had a much better success rate with advantages of more than five points so I will be employing that for the season.

good luck