***GWarner27's 8/22 MLB Picks***

-2.639 units

MLs: 24-22 +7.91
Over: 14-17-3 -6.007
Under: 25-27-3 -7.501
1st 5: 10-7-2 +5.979
TT: 0-3 -3.159

Carried over from the late part of last season, as i run my calendar through the academic year, I was 10-8 (55.6%) +2.968 units. This is NOT part of my record above, though.

My units are 2x the units I use in CBB/NBA, and they're = to the units I use in CF. I'm hoping to stay consistent on flat betting, and i'm very interested in sticking to 1 play per day.

Check my covers space for my blog where I'll be combining posts from all sports into one each day as CF and the NFL start up. It's also good because it's helping me track my leans (although i just started doing it this week). Take a look there if covers is ever down because i'll be trying to post everything here as well as there.


Rule #1:
I will be playing 1 game per day per sport (with the unit differences in my sides and total plays) so I will be looking first at totals and only playing sides if I can't find any totals that fit the bill.
Rule #2 (New as of 6/22):
I will NOT play an NL team facing an AL team.

First Week: 7-7 -2.827
Week Two: 6-4 +3.668
Week Three: 4-4 -1.393
Week Four: 5-5-1 +1.178
Week Five: 2-3-1 -1.023
Week Six: 3-4 -2.891
Week Seven: 5-2-1 +4.038
Week Eight: 4-1 +6.166
Week Nine: 4-4 +3.127
Week Ten: 1-4 -5.533
Week Eleven: 1-5-2 -6.93
Week Twelve: 6-4 +3.338
Week Thirteen: 5-2 +5.607
Week Fourteen: 3-3 -0.585
Week Fifteen: 2-4 -4.35
Week Sixteen: 3-3-1 +3.283
Week Seventeen: 3-5 -4.411
Week Eighteen: 3-5-1 -2.421
Last Week: 4-3 +2.92

This Week: 2-3 -4.009

tomorrow's thoughts:
TOR +125 (9.5): +108 (9.5)
LAD +130 (9): -110 (8.5)
BOS +145 (10): +145 (10.5)
PIT -130 (8.5): -131 (8)
CLE -125 (9): -120 (9)
WAS -150 (9): -126 (9.5)
CHW -180 (8): -182 (8.5)
HOU -125 (9): +112 (8.5)
TB -170 (8): -160 (8.5)
ATL -140 (8.5): -176 (8.5)
NYM +165 (9): +202 (8.5)
COL -140 (9.5): -168 (9.5)
OAK +115 (9.5): +102 (9)
SD +160 (7): +206 (6.5)

avoiding:
MIN-KC

updated leans:
LAA ML
CHC ML
CHC/LAD o8.5
NYY/BOS u10.5
CIN ML
CIN/PIT o8
CLE ML
WAS ML
MIL/WAS u9.5
BAL ML
BAL/CHW u8.5
HOU ML
ARI/HOU o8.5
TB ML
TEX/TB u8.5
FLA ML
NYM ML
PHI/NYM o8.5
SF ML
DET ML
DET/OAK o9
SD ML
StL/SD o6.5

surviving leans (2-5): 30-36-3 since 8/13
TEX/TB u8.5
NYY/BOS u10.5
CLE ML
TB ML
SD ML
ARI/HOU o8.5
PHI/NYM o8.5

adding:
Texas-Tampa Bay UNDER 8.5 (+119): 2/2.38 (Matchbook)
Absolutely love Garza at home and I think the Rays win tonight setting what should hopefully be a nice home and under correlation.

good luck

0 comments:

Post a Comment